Price move · case 021defa7e042
ETH rises 2% in the 24 hours after staking closes
Staking is open until the cutoff.
Resolution rule
Matches on-chain commitmentETH / USD, as Chainlink's feed on Robinhood Chain (0x78F3…d3A9) publishes it, rises at least 2% above its price when staking closes, in any answer the feed publishes after staking closes and by 21:38 UTC on 27 Oct 2026. This case counts only what happens after staking closes. Its price when staking closes is the last answer the feed published at or before then. The case is void if Chainlink upgrades the feed inside the window, or if the feed goes more than 25 hours without publishing and no answer has reached the target.
Settled from Chainlink's feed on Robinhood Chain, read at finalised blocks. Exchange prices, Hyperliquid's included, are shown as context and cannot settle this case.
A YES verdict means only that the feed published this price inside this case's window.
Bound on chain at the price settler 0x8485ca07607fd6b03dbaac19336af3f471791bc6: Chainlink ETH / USD.
Rule hash, pool and ceiling
- Rule hash
- 0x2cb01f5fae7dd99882d53cc6d826e94ec4886eea520a93846074ba9f3ffc19a5
- Pool contract
- 0x2de7…724c
- Staked in
- USDG · 0x5fc5…d168
- Pool ceiling
- 25,000.00 USDG
Price
ETH / USD
ETH / USD now $2,312.82175368 (Chainlink round 2932, 2 h 23 min old)
- Target
- up 2.00% from the price when staking closes
- Measured
- Touch: any answer the feed publishes in the window
- At today's price the target would be
- $2,359.08 or higher; fixed when staking closes
- Distance from the latest answer
- +2.00%
- A NO needs a round at least every
- 25 h
- Chainlink's risk category
- low
Re-check it yourself
feed 0x78f3556b67e17df817d51ef5a990cdaf09e8d3a9
Call getRoundData(roundId) on the feed's proxy at the latest block, from any RPC: every round of a phase still answers there, so no archive node is needed.
Hyperliquid, for comparison
Context only
- Mark
- $2,305.0
- Oracle
- $2,306.2
- Funding per hour
- -0.00020995%
- 24 h change
- −1.65%
- 24 h volume
- $1,004,518,947
- Open interest
- 1,127,992.73 ETH
ETH-PERP, read 2026-10-26 21:15:30 UTC
Hyperliquid's price, for comparison. This case is judged only by Chainlink's ETH / USD feed on Robinhood Chain, which publishes when the price moves 0.5% or once a day, so the two can differ.
ETH-PERP on HyperliquidChainlink’s ETH / USD, which judges this case: $2,312.82175368, 2 h 23 min old.
Exchange prices, Hyperliquid’s included, never settle a case.
Observed events
No on-chain events have been indexed for this case yet.
EvidenceNone yet
No evidence has been submitted. Evidence is context for readers; it never settles a case on its own.
ResolutionWaiting for the window to close
Digest of this report
—
Digest on chain
—
Nothing has been posted on chain for this case yet, so there is no digest to compare against.
No second RPC is configured, so this report has not been reproduced independently. That is a gap in the check, not a disagreement.
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Link
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Fee at settlement2.00% of the gross pool
Charged on the gross pool, only when the case settles. A void case is charged nothing.
- Winning side
- 98.00%
- Treasury
- 0.95%
- Case creator
- 0.35%
- To the burn jar
- 0.30%
- Evidence reserve
- 0.20%
- Referral
- 0.20%