preCrime
Cases
← All cases

Price move · case 021defa7e042

ETH rises 2% in the 24 hours after staking closes

Open

Staking is open until the cutoff.

Resolution rule

Matches on-chain commitment

ETH / USD, as Chainlink's feed on Robinhood Chain (0x78F3…d3A9) publishes it, rises at least 2% above its price when staking closes, in any answer the feed publishes after staking closes and by 21:38 UTC on 27 Oct 2026. This case counts only what happens after staking closes. Its price when staking closes is the last answer the feed published at or before then. The case is void if Chainlink upgrades the feed inside the window, or if the feed goes more than 25 hours without publishing and no answer has reached the target.

Settled from Chainlink's feed on Robinhood Chain, read at finalised blocks. Exchange prices, Hyperliquid's included, are shown as context and cannot settle this case.

A YES verdict means only that the feed published this price inside this case's window.

Bound on chain at the price settler 0x8485ca07607fd6b03dbaac19336af3f471791bc6: Chainlink ETH / USD.

Rule hash, pool and ceiling
Rule hash
0x2cb01f5fae7dd99882d53cc6d826e94ec4886eea520a93846074ba9f3ffc19a5
Pool contract
0x2de7…724c
Pool ceiling
25,000.00 USDG

Price

ETH / USD

ETH / USD now $2,312.82175368 (Chainlink round 2932, 2 h 23 min old)

Target
up 2.00% from the price when staking closes
Measured
Touch: any answer the feed publishes in the window
At today's price the target would be
$2,359.08 or higher; fixed when staking closes
Distance from the latest answer
+2.00%
A NO needs a round at least every
25 h
Chainlink's risk category
low

Re-check it yourself

feed 0x78f3556b67e17df817d51ef5a990cdaf09e8d3a9

Call getRoundData(roundId) on the feed's proxy at the latest block, from any RPC: every round of a phase still answers there, so no archive node is needed.

Hyperliquid, for comparison

Context only

Mark
$2,305.0
Oracle
$2,306.2
Funding per hour
-0.00020995%
24 h change
−1.65%
24 h volume
$1,004,518,947
Open interest
1,127,992.73 ETH

ETH-PERP, read 2026-10-26 21:15:30 UTC

Hyperliquid's price, for comparison. This case is judged only by Chainlink's ETH / USD feed on Robinhood Chain, which publishes when the price moves 0.5% or once a day, so the two can differ.

ETH-PERP on Hyperliquid

Chainlink’s ETH / USD, which judges this case: $2,312.82175368, 2 h 23 min old.

Exchange prices, Hyperliquid’s included, never settle a case.

Observed events

No on-chain events have been indexed for this case yet.

EvidenceNone yet

No evidence has been submitted. Evidence is context for readers; it never settles a case on its own.

ResolutionWaiting for the window to close

Digest of this report

—

Digest on chain

—

Nothing has been posted on chain for this case yet, so there is no digest to compare against.

No second RPC is configured, so this report has not been reproduced independently. That is a gap in the check, not a disagreement.

Share this case

Link

https://precrime.bot/c/021defa7e042

Sign in and open your creator page to share a link that attributes readers to you.

Fee at settlement2.00% of the gross pool

Charged on the gross pool, only when the case settles. A void case is charged nothing.

Winning side
98.00%
Treasury
0.95%
Case creator
0.35%
To the burn jar
0.30%
Evidence reserve
0.20%
Referral
0.20%