preCrime
Cases

Robinhood Chain · pump.fun

See the rug pull before it happens.

A prediction market on memecoin misconduct: dev dumps, rug pulls, LP pulls and sniper exits, on Robinhood Chain and pump.fun coins. Settled from on-chain data.

See open cases Open a case

Cases are staked in USDG, the chain’s dollar, or in PRECRIME, on Robinhood Chain (chain ID 4663). To stake in USDG you need a wallet on that network holding it, and a little ETH for gas. Across turns USDC on Base, Arbitrum, Ethereum and other chains into USDG on Robinhood Chain within seconds. ETH for gas goes across the same way, as a transfer of its own. Relay is another route Robinhood’s bridging docs list. About $1 of ETH covers many transactions; a stake costs a fraction of a cent.

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Price move · USDG

ETH rises 2% in the 24 hours after staking closes

Open

YES/NO

ETH / USD, as Chainlink's feed on Robinhood Chain (0x78F3…d3A9) publishes it, rises at least 2% above its price when staking closes, in any answer the feed publishes after staking closes and by 21:38 UTC on 27 Oct 2026. This case counts only what happens after staking closes. Its price when staking closes is the last answer the feed published at or before then. The case is void if Chainlink upgrades the feed inside the window, or if the feed goes more than 25 hours without publishing and no answer has reached the target.

Target
0x78f3…d3a9
Staking closes
Take a side

Supply teleport · USDG

Does wallet 5MVn…BLJm move 0.1% of GATO's supply this week?

Open

GUILTY/INNOCENT

Wallet 5MVneC…BLJm moves at least 0.1% of the supply minted at the pump.fun launch of HsprHx…pump out of its token accounts, by transfer or by handing an account to another owner, to anything but a listed pool, a burn or this case's allowlist, after staking closes and by 18:36 UTC on 3 Nov 2026. This case counts only what happens after staking closes. If the share is reached in a Solana slot stamped within 5 seconds after staking closes, the case is void: the two chains' clocks are not one clock.

Target
5MVneC…BLJm
Staking closes
Take a side

How it works

01

Open a case

Name one publicly observable event, one threshold, one deadline. The rule is hashed and the pool is created with that hash, so it can never change afterwards.

02

Take a side

GUILTY if you think it happens after staking closes and before the case's deadline, INNOCENT if you do not. Only what happens after staking closes is counted. The pool shows what everyone else thinks, and what your payout would be.

03

On-chain data settles it

A resolver posts a verdict from finalised on-chain data and a second machine confirms it, or a Chainlink round proves it on chain. After the window you chose, the winning side claims.

Genesis points are running: staking $5 or more in cases that settle two-sided earns them. See Points →

What a verdict means

GUILTY is a measurement, not an accusation.

A GUILTY verdict means one thing: the precisely defined event named in the case was observed inside the case’s window. It is not a finding of misconduct. It says nothing about who controls an address, why they acted, or whether anything improper happened.

Cases target public addresses and contracts, never people. A case that identifies someone, or speculates about who controls an address, is removed.

Read the rules

The fee, in full

2.00% of the gross pool at settlement, capped at 2% by the contract. The winning side takes the rest, pro rata.

Winning side
98.00%
Treasury
0.95%
Case creator
0.35%
Burned, or to the jar on a USDG case
0.30%
Evidence reserve
0.20%
Referral
0.20%

A case nobody took the other side of is void: everyone refunded in full, and nothing taken at all.

In your group chat

The bot posts every new case in your group with its pool, odds and deadline. Its stake buttons open the case in your wallet app, ready to sign.

Open @getpreCrimebotWhat the bot does

Every figure, checkable

Nothing here is estimated.

Settlement figures come from indexed chain events. A rule can be re-hashed from what is published and checked against the contract. Where a source is unconfigured, the page says so rather than filling the gap.

See the accounting